Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.003042 0.003342 0.003662 0.004029 0.004438 0.004883 0.005402
2026-02-01 0.002544 0.002966 0.003449 0.004043 0.004758 0.005594 0.006654
2026-02-08 0.002220 0.002694 0.003260 0.003992 0.004918 0.006063 0.007597
2026-02-15 0.001970 0.002466 0.003081 0.003906 0.004996 0.006401 0.008378
2026-02-22 0.001817 0.002337 0.003002 0.003925 0.005190 0.006887 0.009379
2026-03-01 0.001725 0.002273 0.002995 0.004029 0.005496 0.007537 0.010659
2026-03-08 0.001588 0.002136 0.002875 0.003962 0.005549 0.007830 0.011445
2026-03-15 0.001467 0.002010 0.002758 0.003886 0.005576 0.008078 0.012177
2026-03-22 0.001377 0.001920 0.002684 0.003861 0.005672 0.008430 0.013094
2026-03-29 0.001316 0.001867 0.002657 0.003902 0.005867 0.008944 0.014319
2026-04-05 0.001234 0.001777 0.002569 0.003841 0.005895 0.009192 0.015119
2026-04-12 0.001166 0.001702 0.002498 0.003801 0.005951 0.009484 0.016019
2026-04-19 0.001097 0.001624 0.002420 0.003749 0.005992 0.009772 0.016974
2026-04-26 0.001047 0.001573 0.002383 0.003763 0.006144 0.010268 0.018377
2026-05-03 0.000989 0.001506 0.002314 0.003715 0.006187 0.010571 0.019445
2026-05-10 0.000929 0.001432 0.002230 0.003637 0.006166 0.010755 0.020296
2026-05-17 0.000894 0.001395 0.002203 0.003654 0.006318 0.011269 0.021873
2026-05-24 0.000876 0.001386 0.002221 0.003750 0.006621 0.012098 0.024209
2026-05-31 0.000831 0.001328 0.002154 0.003688 0.006620 0.012332 0.025290
2026-06-07 0.000787 0.001272 0.002085 0.003618 0.006598 0.012519 0.026286
2026-06-14 0.000755 0.001232 0.002044 0.003595 0.006665 0.012894 0.027760
2026-06-21 0.000734 0.001212 0.002035 0.003633 0.006856 0.013544 0.029965
2026-06-28 0.000701 0.001167 0.001979 0.003577 0.006851 0.013774 0.031180